Application of Soft Computing Techniques to Predict Reservoir Water Level
Vrushaly K. Shinglot1, Monika R. Tiwari2, Shardav U. Bhatt3, Narendra J. Shrimali4
1Vrushaly Shinglot, Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematics, Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel Institute of Technology, Vasad (Gujarat). India.
2Monika Tiwari, Assistant Professor, Department of Applied Sciences and Humanities, Faculty of Engineering & Technology, Parul University, Vadodara (Gujarat). India.
3Shardav Bhatt, Teaching Assistant, Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Technology and Engineering, Maharaja Sayajirao University of Baroda, Vadodara. (Gujarat). India.
4Dr. Narendra Shrimali, Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Maharaja Sayajirao University of Baroda, Vadodara. (Gujarat). India.
Manuscript received on May 12, 2016. | Revised Manuscript received on May 18, 2016. | Manuscript published on July 05, 2016. | PP: 55-59 | Volume-6 Issue-3, July 2016. | Retrieval Number: C2882076316
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© The Authors. Published By: Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Abstract: In this work, the reservoir water level has been predicted using one of the soft computing techniques named Artificial Neural Network. The reservoir water level is influenced by many parameters. Among which the most influencing parameters have been considered here: amount of rainfall, temperature and evaporation. For this analysis, the reservoir made on Shetrunji River Dam in Dhari, Amreli district, Gujarat, India has been chosen as it was overflown seven times in last ten years. This shows the importance of water level prediction at this particular reservoir. The Neural Network is trained using the past data collected and further used to predict water level for the unknown data. The approach of the multiple regression is also shown for its comparison with the Soft computing approach. Computations and experimental works were done by programming in software MATLAB. Such modeling is useful for planning and decision making of opening gates for reservoir operation particularly during monsoon and water scarcity.
Keywords: Soft Computing, Artificial Neural Network, Regression, Back Propagation Algorithm, Reservoir water level Prediction